Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.180935 0.214837 0.252862 0.298600 0.352056 0.412484 0.485903
2025-06-01 0.131687 0.175362 0.229728 0.302085 0.395546 0.511849 0.667176
2025-06-08 0.099247 0.144193 0.204720 0.291600 0.412426 0.573716 0.804395
2025-06-15 0.082997 0.129527 0.196340 0.298300 0.448766 0.661178 0.981891
2025-06-22 0.069833 0.116112 0.186435 0.299664 0.475609 0.736282 1.148617
2025-06-29 0.058503 0.103105 0.174483 0.295154 0.491617 0.795599 1.296869
2025-07-06 0.049644 0.092353 0.164053 0.290830 0.506230 0.852928 1.446588
2025-07-13 0.045188 0.088247 0.163701 0.302553 0.547556 0.955868 1.678551
2025-07-20 0.042921 0.087618 0.169051 0.324424 0.608070 1.095772 1.984871
2025-07-27 0.039746 0.084712 0.169787 0.337879 0.654955 1.216681 2.270050
2025-08-03 0.035218 0.078383 0.163198 0.336714 0.674836 1.291823 2.481469
2025-08-10 0.030141 0.070076 0.151581 0.324234 0.671744 1.324736 2.618940
2025-08-17 0.025209 0.061467 0.138588 0.308235 0.661823 1.347504 2.747136
2025-08-24 0.022684 0.057798 0.135380 0.312043 0.692173 1.450740 3.041043
2025-08-31 0.019386 0.051707 0.125981 0.301250 0.690919 1.491634 3.216622
2025-09-07 0.017798 0.049444 0.124754 0.308159 0.727835 1.612670 3.564837
2025-09-14 0.016050 0.046445 0.121345 0.309566 0.752740 1.711160 3.875899
2025-09-21 0.014179 0.042761 0.115715 0.304916 0.763314 1.780099 4.130929
2025-09-28 0.012563 0.039453 0.110488 0.300457 0.773664 1.849335 4.392980
2025-10-05 0.011909 0.038753 0.111827 0.312545 0.824712 2.013904 4.881226
2025-10-12 0.011743 0.039459 0.116981 0.335095 0.903791 2.249513 5.551036
2025-10-19 0.011208 0.038946 0.118751 0.348966 0.962785 2.444022 6.143621
2025-10-26 0.010160 0.036619 0.115114 0.347765 0.983247 2.549477 6.537351